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Tetlock divided experts into “foxes” who maintained multiple hypotheses, and “hedgehogs” who were more dogmatic. Tetlock blamed their failure on confirmation bias, and specifically on their inability to make use of new information that contradicted their existing theories. According to Robert MacCoun, most biased evidence processing occurs through a combination of “cold” and “hot” mechanisms. Biases in belief interpretation are persistent, regardless of intelligence level. Participants in an experiment took the SAT test to assess their intelligence levels.
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